Rails on Strike: The Devastating Ripple Effects on US Businesses

freight trains

A rail strike in Canada threatens to bring US businesses to their knees with disrupted supply chains, shipment delays, and skyrocketing operational costs.

At a Glance

  • Rail labor dispute in Canada has disrupted traffic on Canadian National Railway (CN) and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC).
  • Nearly 9,300 workers were locked out after failing to reach a deal with the Teamsters union.
  • Canada exports around 75% of its goods to the US, mostly via rail.
  • Lockout affects commutes in Toronto, Montreal, and Vancouver.
  • US and Canadian chambers of commerce warned of potential “devastating” impact on both economies.

Canadian Rail Strike Paralyzes Freight Traffic

US businesses are bracing for commercial chaos due to a rail labor dispute in Canada, shutting down freight traffic on Canadian National Railway (CN) and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC). Nearly 9,300 workers were locked out after negotiations with the Teamsters union failed. The stakes are high, given Canada exports roughly 75% of its goods to the US, primarily through railways.

This news spills into significant sectors including manufacturing, agriculture, and automotive. If unresolved, the ripple effects will be felt far beyond Canada’s borders, disrupting shipments, inflating operational costs, and hampering supply chains critically dependent on the timely movement of goods.

According to industry and trade organizations, the consequences of this lockout are immediate and widespread. The Canadian rail network is essential for moving agricultural products such as grains and beans, and minerals including potash and coal. Let’s not forget the timber. A bottleneck in any of these supplies cripples not only Canadian productivity but the entire North American economy.

Key Issues and Negotiations

Negotiations have stalled around working conditions such as shift scheduling and fatigue provisions. CN and CPKC argue that they had been negotiating in good faith for months. “Without an agreement or binding arbitration, CN had no choice but to finalize a safe and orderly shutdown and proceed with a lockout,” stated CN

“Without an agreement or binding arbitration, CN had no choice but to finalize a safe and orderly shutdown and proceed with a lockout,” CN said in a statement.

In a desperate bid to prevent an economic meltdown, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has urged both sides to continue negotiations. Meanwhile, US Transport Secretary Pete Buttigieg closely monitors the situation, highlighting the mutual interdependence of the US and Canadian economies.

Economic Repercussions

This rail strike has sent shockwaves across sectors that rely heavily on efficient rail logistics. The American Apparel & Footwear Association warns of potential shortages of commodities such as clothes and shoes. The Consumer Brands Association noted that this strike threatens the consumer packaged goods (CPG) industry, potentially triggering higher prices and supply scarcity.

“CPKC has bargained in good faith, but despite our best efforts, it is clear that a negotiated outcome with the TCRC is not within reach.” – CPKC

The ripple effect of Canada’s railway stoppage isn’t confined to its borders; it will bleed into the US, as North American supply chains are profoundly interconnected. For instance, cargo is being diverted from Canada’s West Coast ports, causing significant reductions in vessel arrivals at the Port of Vancouver and increasing the load on US ports like Los Angeles-Long Beach, Oakland, and Seattle. The impact on global supply chains is bound to worsen, especially during critical times for back-to-school sales and the winter holiday inventory rush.

Dire Need for Resolution

Industry experts caution that if the strike isn’t resolved swiftly, it could push North America into a logistical nightmare. The US and Canadian Chambers of Commerce have called the potential impact “devastating” on both economies. Transporting these critical commodities—fertilizer, iron ore, grain, cement, salt, potash, coal, cars, wood/timber, and consumer goods—becomes a nightmarish challenge without railways.

“Allowing these shipments to stop, for any length of time, is not only a threat to Canada’s economy but to global food affordability and security,” Pulse Canada president Greg Cherewyk said.

Considering that over half of Canada’s exports and about 70% of intercity surface freight are moved by rail, totaling $380 billion CAD annually, this lockout’s broader implications for the US economy are hard to overlook. Business groups are already lobbying for government intervention to avert the crisis, with fingers crossed for binding arbitration or any form of resolution that will bring these critical goods back on track.